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Harry's November 2, 2010 General Election Message Board. 
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Date: Tuesday, November 02, 2010
Time: 09:09:00 PM

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I have a very "Hurley" wake-up call. The H-Man has left the building. 11:08 pm GOOD NIGHT.


Date: Tuesday, November 02, 2010
Time: 09:04:25 PM

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These Surrogate numbers are the most colmplete any where to be found.


Date: Tuesday, November 02, 2010
Time: 09:03:31 PM

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11:03 p.m. Updated numbers for Atlantic County Surrogate ... Only available here Jim Curcio leads Jim Carney by approximately 1400 votes. This includes that Curcio has won the mail-in ballots by a margin of 200 votes. If Carney picks up 100 votes from Longport, which has yet to report, Curcio's lead will expand to about 1500 votes. This is an unsurmountable lead. Carney and his filthy, rotten campaign have been sent packing.


Date: Tuesday, November 02, 2010
Time: 08:44:44 PM

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I'm Calling the race for Atlantic County Surrogate. After a review of election results from 22 out of 23 towns, Jim Curcio has defeated incumbent Jim Carney by about 1,000 votes. Only Longport remains from my election tally. Carney ran a disgusting campaign, right through election day, with horrible robo calls being made, with no paid for disclaimer on Election day, and, prior to Election Day. A desperate, ugly candidate.


Date: Tuesday, November 02, 2010
Time: 08:15:13 PM

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Curcio now leads Carney for Surrogate by more than 1,000 votes with only Longport left. Waiting to comfirm Atlantic City vote totals, that were provided to me earlier. Our numbers are ahead of Atlantic County Board of Elections, again.


Date: Tuesday, November 02, 2010
Time: 08:01:02 PM

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Media credit for Runyan victory to Darryl Isherwood, Editor of www.PolitickerNJ.com


Date: Tuesday, November 02, 2010
Time: 07:59:53 PM

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Jon Runyan defeats Congressman John Adler in District 3 by 8,700 votes


Date: Tuesday, November 02, 2010
Time: 07:57:41 PM

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Curcio leads Carney by approximately 900 votes with only Weymouth and Longport left to report.


Date: Tuesday, November 02, 2010
Time: 07:57:15 PM

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Joe McDevitt Wins re-election bhy more than 3,000 votes, with only Weymouth and Longport left to report


Date: Tuesday, November 02, 2010
Time: 07:40:41 PM

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Northfield Republicans sweep Council races. Democrat Jason O'Grady defeated.


Date: Tuesday, November 02, 2010
Time: 07:39:03 PM

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Frank LoBiondo wins re-election in District 2.


Date: Tuesday, November 02, 2010
Time: 07:35:04 PM

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Jon Runyan doing very well in District 3 US House of Representatives


Date: Tuesday, November 02, 2010
Time: 07:30:48 PM

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McDevitt appears posied to win re-election. Curcio leads Carney.


Date: Tuesday, November 02, 2010
Time: 07:19:36 PM

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Aaron "Sporty" Randolph wins by neafrly a 3-1 margin in Atlantic City's 1st Ward Council race.


Date: Tuesday, November 02, 2010
Time: 07:13:29 PM

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Im not taking back Curcio report ... But, I am now receiving conflicting data. Stay tuned.


Date: Tuesday, November 02, 2010
Time: 07:06:26 PM

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Just reported to me that 2 voting machines are malfunctioining in Buena, a stronghold for Curcio ... no numbers to report yet in Buena.


Date: Tuesday, November 02, 2010
Time: 07:01:34 PM

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Curcio's lead over the incumbent Carney is big at this time, nearing 10,000 vote margin.


Date: Tuesday, November 02, 2010
Time: 07:00:24 PM

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Curcio leading Carney for Surrogate at this hour.


Date: Tuesday, November 02, 2010
Time: 06:37:50 PM

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First Reported Here ... 8:35 pm ... Somers Point City Council Election Results Sean McGuigan Republican wins District 1 by 2-1 margin oiver Frank Cosgrove 826 to 395 ... In the second ward, Dennis Tapp defeats Democrat John DiMaria also 2 to 1 margin ... 807 to 393


Date: Tuesday, November 02, 2010
Time: 06:35:38 PM

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Hamilton Township vote totals ... Amy Gatto 3142, Roger Silva 2976 Guishard 2716 ... 2686


Date: Tuesday, November 02, 2010
Time: 06:32:37 PM

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First reported here ... Hamilton Township Committee results: Amy Gatto, Republican Roger Silva, Republican Win Big in Hamilton Township ... defeating Bob Campbell, Democrat and Rodney Guishard, Democrat


Date: Tuesday, November 02, 2010
Time: 06:28:17 PM

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I will have Hamilton Township Committee results within 5 minutes. This will be the first call of any local election this evening. Stay tuned. Be right back.


Date: Tuesday, November 02, 2010
Time: 06:22:18 PM

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Still awaiting sources to share first local, county election results. Poll have been closed for 22 minutes.


Date: Tuesday, November 02, 2010
Time: 06:06:42 PM

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Democrats win CT., Delaware and Maryland. Christine O'Donnell crashes and burns in Delaware. A lot of filet mignon and lobster in my immediate future , when all pay up.


Date: Tuesday, November 02, 2010
Time: 06:05:24 PM

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Republicans win Alabama, Florida, Indiana, Ohio, Kentucky, Missouri, New Hampshire and South Carolina


Date: Tuesday, November 02, 2010
Time: 06:00:49 PM

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It's 8:00 p.m., The Polls have closed. Stay tuned. A lot of news will follow shortly.


Date: Tuesday, November 02, 2010
Time: 05:31:41 PM

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For Ohio Governor, John Kasich, Republican leads a close race.


Date: Tuesday, November 02, 2010
Time: 05:30:50 PM

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Rob Portman, Republican defeats Lee Fisher to win Ohio US Senate seat.


Date: Tuesday, November 02, 2010
Time: 05:27:07 PM

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Near complete Exit Returns are in. Republicans will win the House of Representatives with at least 50 seat gain. Republicans will also gain at least 7 US Senate seats. My predictions are running spot on at this time. Developing.


Date: Tuesday, November 02, 2010
Time: 05:24:54 PM

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Boozman, Republican defeats incumbent Lincoln in Arkansas for another Republican gain.


Date: Tuesday, November 02, 2010
Time: 05:09:51 PM

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Jim DeMint, Republican wins US Senate re-election in South Carolina.


Date: Tuesday, November 02, 2010
Time: 05:09:10 PM

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Rubio, Republican defeats Crist and Meek in Flordia US Senate


Date: Tuesday, November 02, 2010
Time: 05:08:38 PM

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Boxer, Dem will defeat Fiorina in California.


Date: Tuesday, November 02, 2010
Time: 05:01:59 PM

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Rand Paul, Republican wins Kentucky US Senate seat.


Date: Tuesday, November 02, 2010
Time: 05:01:25 PM

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Indiana's Dan Coats Republican wins ... with only 4% of the vote in, Coats has already won the race. This is the first gain of a US Senate seat tonight.


Date: Tuesday, November 02, 2010
Time: 04:57:18 PM

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AOL USERS ... IMPORTANT .... USE YOUR WINDOWS INTERNET EXPLORER BROWSER .... YOUR AOL COOKIES WILL NOT UPDATE FAST ENOUGH TO KEEP UP WITH OUR RAPID LIVE ELECTION COVERAGE TONIGHT


Date: Tuesday, November 02, 2010
Time: 04:45:21 PM

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MORE EXIT POLLS: IL 49-43 Kirk [R]... KY 55-44 Paul [R]... NEVADA TIED... Developing.


Date: Tuesday, November 02, 2010
Time: 04:41:21 PM

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SENT TO ME BY A VERY RELIABLE SOURCE. I HAVE CONFIRMED THE EXISTENCE OF SICKENING AND DESPERATE JIM CARNEY TELEPHONE CALLS. NO DISCLAIMER WITH CALLS. Disgusting (with no disclaimer) robo-call received. Win or lose, Carney and the Ds should hide their faces over this one. Here is the transcript: By now you’ve heard that Republican Freeholder Chairman and prosecutor Jim Curcio was arrested for drinking and driving and multiple other offenses. This is beyond a mere isolated lapse in judgment as Mr. Curcio would have us believe. His actions could have resulted in tragedy. Furthermore, it is shameless that amidst his own problems Mr. Curcio could continue to attack Democrat Jim Carney with deceitful and dishonest negative adds. Stop Jim Curcio from twisting the truth. We need you to get out and vote to re-elect our honest and straight forward Surrogate, Jim Carney. It’s a female voice. There is no “paid for by” disclaimer. The number came up as “UNAVAILABLE” on the caller ID.


Date: Tuesday, November 02, 2010
Time: 04:36:21 PM

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As you may have noticed, we at The Daily Beast have been busily digging into coverage of blowouts past for historical parallels to Tuesday's election. I wanted to highlight one little gem from the news archives as we head into the final day of the midterms. Here are excerpts from a few predictions by the major election analysts that were published in Campaigns & Elections two weeks before the 1994 midterms: Charles Cook, editor and publisher of the Cook Political Report: "The Democrats will lose 20-25 in the House; four to five in the Senate. I'm seeing softening for Democrats in key Senate races, such as Virginia. Anti -incumbency, despondency among Democratic voters and a galvanization of GOP voters are the overarching trends. Democrats are disillusioned with Clinton; Republicans hate him and will turn out in droves. The GOP vote is coming home and it's hardening earlier than usual." Stuart Rothenberg, editor and publisher of the Rothenberg Report, a political newsletter: "The Democrats will lose 24-26 seats in the House; three to five in the Senate. They're vulnerable in the South and in traditionally Republican districts in the North that they've been able to hold in the past by splitting the Republicans. However, President Clinton's unpopularity is uniting the GOP. This isn't a particularly ideological election, though. It's just insiders versus outsiders, and Democrats are the insiders right now. Voters remain skeptical about the role of government, another negative for Democrats. Clinton has tried to alter this widespread mistrust of governmental activism, but he hasn't succeeded." Larry Sabato, professor of government at the University of Virginia: "My slogan has always been: 'He who lives by the Crystal Ball ends up eating ground glass.' Nevertheless, it looks like Democrats will be lucky to lose only 24-25 seats in the House and four in the Senate. Much of it hinges on President Clinton's popularity. Many of these elections are turning into a referendum on Bill Clinton, as is usually the case with mid-term elections and the President in power. About a half dozen Senate races will be decided with less than two percent of the vote. So last-minute trends will matter. Clinton could bounce back, as he's done in the past, and that could reduce Democratic losses. I don't think his approval rating will sink any lower than about 35 percent; that's his floor and he's close to it now. If anything, I think his popularity might rise a little bit between now and election day. When all is said and done, there's only one thing we know for sure: the Democrats will lose a lot of seats in both Houses." The other analysts' predictions cited in the piece were 25 House seats (Jack Germond), 20-25 seats (Gloria Borger), 25 seats (Cokie Roberts), and 25 seats (William Schneider). Notice a pattern? Of course that's not what happened—instead Republicans ended up shocking the world with a 54-seat gain and their first House majority in 40 years. The reason I bring this up is that the current pundit predictions, although a rough estimate, are almost as uniform as they were then in predicting GOP gains of 50-60 seats. New York Times election guru Nate Silver has a detailed piece today explaining the unusual amount of uncertainty in this election and it truly is a must-read. As many of the analysts themselves acknowledge, just because the consensus number is about 55 seats, doesn't mean that much larger or smaller gains aren't possible for Republicans. There could still be some major factor in the races that the pollsters have so far failed to detect. UPDATE: As for today's big vote, you can check the Daily Beast's Election Oracle for our own uncertain stab at the results. I'll also be participating in a live chat led by The Daily Beast's Howie Kurtz starting at 8 PM and updating via Twitter and the blog throughout the day and evening. You Should Check Out: The Media's Lousy Crystal Ball The Daily Beast SponsoredJuan Williams: NPR Does Not Understand the Fox News Audience The Hollywood Reporter SponsoredNo Social Security until age 65? BankRate.com - Retirement Jerry Brown Gives Meg Whitman a History Lesson The Daily Beast Jerry Brown Gives Meg Whitman a History Lesson The Daily Beast No Social Security until age 65? BankRate.com - Retirement Juan Williams: NPR Does Not Understand the Fox News Audience The Hollywood Reporter The Media's Lousy Crystal Ball The Daily Beast [?] Politics, Democrat 2010 Election, Election Oracle, Stu Rothenberg, Midterm Election, Republcian, Charlie Cook, Larry Sabato, Polling, Polls, Nate Silver (4) Show Replies Collapse Replies Sort UpSort Downsort by date: AzaniaMindset So it could be 50-60. Or it could be higher. Or it could be lower. I say 50 because the GOTV browbeating we have heard of in support of Reid seems so forceful. That leans on the part of the polling the pollsters cant predict. I think Manchin loses, and Sink cant close FL gov because there are too many Rubio vote flying around. Barney gets by with 7 or something like that. Dingle could be worse than that. Flag It|Permalink|Reply6:22 pm, Nov 1, 2010chiefbigknife Duhh...yup, yup, pundits they been wrong before; like when they all said Gov. Palin's political career was over when she resigned, and uh...yup. Flag It|Permalink|Reply7:40 pm, Nov 1, 2010mickrussom If you support Obama and his Regime, you support a Statist authoritarian who is an empty suit who speaks in platitudes who is beholden to the oligarchical collectivists and banking cabals. You are against freedom, liberty and our constitutional republic and the notion that all of our rights are inborn and are given by our creator. Some autocrat in Washington does not grant rights - the constitution simply enumerates them for added protection. The constitution also limits the Powers of the Federal Government yet an expansionist authoritarian view is used in modern times contrary to what Madison had intended. If you support Obama you support the biggest threat to our free will in our history, and when the last bastion of freedom in the USA falls, there is nowhere else to go. Flag It|Permalink|Reply1:24 pm, Nov 2, 2010stevelevy3 1994 was the first year of racially gerrymandered districts, and while Cook, Rothenberg, and Sabato underestimated the GOP tide that year, they didn't have the benefit of historical voting patterns in these districts and were perhaps slow to understand the effect of the gerrymander. There's no excuse this year. Should be an exciting evening. THIS POST IS FROM THE DAILY BEAST


Date: Tuesday, November 02, 2010
Time: 04:33:05 PM

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TYPO ... Meant that Miller, Murkowski and McAdams will equally divide the vote at about 1/3 each.


Date: Tuesday, November 02, 2010
Time: 04:32:28 PM

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Looks like a long night in Alaska. Miller and McAdams will pretty equally divide the result 1/3 each.


Date: Tuesday, November 02, 2010
Time: 04:30:49 PM

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BACK TO THE FUTURE? New Black Panther Seen At Polling Place No Voter Intimidation Reported Tuesday At Poll PHILADELPHIA - Fox 29 News ran into a New Black Panther Party member outside as the same Philadelphia polling place where voter intimidation was reported two years ago. He was handing out a sample ballot for the Democrats. Slideshow: Man With Panther Badge At The Polls Sample Ballot Was Handing Out The man was seen outside the polling place in North Philadelphia was wearing a pin that indicated his party affiliation, along with a black hat, sunglasses and leather coat.


Date: Tuesday, November 02, 2010
Time: 04:28:32 PM

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To give you some perspective about previous "tidal wave" elections throughout our Country's history. RECORDS: REPUBLICANS GAINED 72 SEATS IN 1938... DEMS GAINED 75 SEATS IN 1948. Tonight may be the biggest shift in power ever. Developing.


Date: Tuesday, November 02, 2010
Time: 04:23:03 PM

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It's 6:22 p.m. and HarryHurley.com is projecting that Aaron "Sporty" Randolph will win re-election by a wide margin tonight.


Date: Tuesday, November 02, 2010
Time: 04:22:21 PM

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Multiple sources confirm that the voter turnout in Atlantic City and Pleasantville is light.


Date: Tuesday, November 02, 2010
Time: 04:21:45 PM

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Somers Point Republican Council candidates are getting their vote out today. Look for first results here later tonight, however, at 6:20 p.m., HarryHurley.com is forecasting Council President Sean McGuigan and former Councilman Dennis Tapp will sweep to victory. We expect it to be an early night in Somers Point.


Date: Tuesday, November 02, 2010
Time: 04:19:09 PM

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Look for local and County results here first.


Date: Tuesday, November 02, 2010
Time: 04:17:04 PM

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Voter Turnout in Delaware looks light. Democrat Chris Coons very worried.


Date: Tuesday, November 02, 2010
Time: 04:15:22 PM

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BREAKING NEWS .... EXIT POLLS: Arkansas: Boozman (R) defeats Lincoln (D) Ohio: Portman (R) defeats Fisher (D) North Dakota: Hoeven (R) defeats Potter (D) Wisconsin: Johnson (R) defeats Feingold (D)


Date: Tuesday, November 02, 2010
Time: 04:11:14 PM

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National Youth vote is way down in this election. The African-American vote is lower then in 1994. This is an amazing statistic. It's going to be a very bad night for Democrats.


Date: Tuesday, November 02, 2010
Time: 04:10:07 PM

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Disagreement with The Obama agenda is playing a big factor in all exit polling today.


Date: Tuesday, November 02, 2010
Time: 04:08:54 PM

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Harry Reid just said he thinks he's going to garner Republican votes today. You think?


Date: Tuesday, November 02, 2010
Time: 04:08:09 PM

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Kentucky turnout is high today and tonight.


Date: Tuesday, November 02, 2010
Time: 04:07:51 PM

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Election turnout in the state of Florida is considered light today and tonight. This favors Republicans, who have the more motivated voters.


Date: Tuesday, November 02, 2010
Time: 04:06:49 PM

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Polls closing in Kentucky. Exit polls are showing a majority of voters are dissatisfied with government, not ANGRY as the Democrat media has tried to foster. 25% of voters said they are angry, which I believe these feelings should be assigned to the previously mentioned category.


Date: Tuesday, November 02, 2010
Time: 03:42:12 PM

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REMEMBER: WHEN VISITING OUR LIVE COVERAGE TONIGHT ... REFRESH YOUR BROWSER OFTEN, TO RECEIVE MY LATEST UPDATES. IF YOU DON'T KNOW HOW TO REFRESH YOUR BROWSER, SIMPLY EXIT AND RETURN TO OUR PAGE AND YOU WILL RECEIVE THE LATEST INFORMATION POSTED.


Date: Tuesday, November 02, 2010
Time: 03:41:18 PM

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Cape May County Freeholder update at 5:40 p.m., Gerald Thorton and Sue Shepard are doing very well. We're forecasting a big victory for both of these Republicans tonight. Stay tuned for updates.


Date: Tuesday, November 02, 2010
Time: 03:40:11 PM

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Based upon typical mid-term election past ... Turnout today will be considered high. We forecasting 45% overall turnout in Atlantic County.


Date: Tuesday, November 02, 2010
Time: 03:39:07 PM

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Atlantic County Surrogate Jim Carney observed on Main Street in Pleasantville asking for votes (in the late 4:00 p.m. hour. Carney may well know something ion the closing hours of this election. Why would a Democrat, who is assured 90-plus % of the vote in Pleasantville ... find the need to be campaigning in this Democratic strong hold? Developing.


Date: Wednesday, October 27, 2010
Time: 10:23:39 PM

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Welcome to Harry Hurley's "LIVE" 2010 Genaral Election message board!


Date: Wednesday, October 27, 2010
Time: 10:16 PM

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